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Energy Discussion

“Free Trade” and China:

According to experts who have spent years studying China’s rare earth strategy, the pattern worked like this: whenever Beijing saw a Western rare earth supply chain or processing capability being developed, it would manipulate the AMI and flood the global market with cheap material.Prices would crash, the investment case for the Western project would evaporate, and the company behind it would either scale back or shut down entirely.

 
A couple of interesting articles on the energy industry: a problem with shipping insurance regulations in Europe and the beginnings of infrastructure defense in the Middle East:


 
A couple of interesting articles on the energy industry: a problem with shipping insurance regulations in Europe and the beginnings of infrastructure defense in the Middle East:


Interesting idea. Apparently they have mixed reviews, but even if they are above 50% effective that’s a win for not a whole lot of petrodollars.
 
A good article on the oil town of Stavanger, Norway which is a fun city halfway between Oslo in the South and Narvik in the north. Actually, all 3 are a good time.


In somewhat related news, Norway leads the world in the adoption of EV's with 96% of new cars last year being electric.
 
A couple of interesting articles on coal use in China:

Converting coal directly into electricity without combustion:


and large scale converting coal into liquids (which has been previously done) which has reduced China’s oil consumption by several million barrels per day:

 
A couple of interesting articles on coal use in China:

Converting coal directly into electricity without combustion:


and large scale converting coal into liquids (which has been previously done) which has reduced China’s oil consumption by several million barrels per day:


In related news, coal has fallen from a total of 78% of China's electricity generation in 2008 to about 60% today (figures after 2021 combine oil, gas and coal in one figure) while renewables have doubled from almost 18% to almost 36% of total electricity generation.
 
I really think the Straits of Hormuz thing is a tipping point for renewables.

The economies of scale of solar and other renewables and of storage (batteries) along with the clear evidence that Big Fossil is actually a highly fragile supply system subject to any source of disturbances. The move will continue to accelerate.
 
I really think the Straits of Hormuz thing is a tipping point for renewables.

The economies of scale of solar and other renewables and of storage (batteries) along with the clear evidence that Big Fossil is actually a highly fragile supply system subject to any source of disturbances. The move will continue to accelerate.

Are the supply chains for "renewables" really any less fragile? They still need lithium, rare earths, and in most cases, a host of petroleum products.

I would wager they're even more fragile...
 
Are the supply chains for "renewables" really any less fragile? They still need lithium, rare earths, and in most cases, a host of petroleum products.

I would wager they're even more fragile...
The thing about the renewables supply chain is you only ship them once, like a furnace in your house to burn the oil.

After that, the analog to the oil is sunlight or wind.
 
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