1Nov2021 SNA/SNFO Board

[CWFM713]

A simplistic thought experiment for the SNA's among us.

228 submitted for SNA as Choice 1. If given the prior assumptions are true of 148 slots remaining for FY 22, that leaves 65% to be selected.

However, if we filter this list down to include all GPA, all OAR, and only by PFAR 7-9, that captures 113 of the goal. Leaving 35.

Including PFAR's of 6 results in 144. Leaving four.

An overly basic model of selection criteria of course. Hoping that adds some good juju to the vibes in this thread based on probabilities from quantifiable variables only.

 

[exNavyOffRec]

A simplistic thought experiment for the SNA's among us.

228 submitted for SNA as Choice 1. If given the prior assumptions are true of 148 slots remaining for FY 22, that leaves 65% to be selected.

However, if we filter this list down to include all GPA, all OAR, and only by PFAR 7-9, that captures 113 of the goal. Leaving 35.

Including PFAR's of 6 results in 144. Leaving four.

An overly basic model of selection criteria of course. Hoping that adds some good juju to the vibes in this thread based on probabilities from quantifiable variables only.

The hard goals that came out resulted in a significant cut in SNA, nearly 70% of the OCS SNA shipping goal has been met and 80% of the shipping goal has been identified which is why I said if not selected on this board to re-apply. This board could be brutal for SNA's, and if they do select a higher percentage then many will be waiting until July 2022 for OCS.

 

[CWFM713]

The hard goals that came out resulted in a significant cut in SNA, nearly 70% of the OCS SNA shipping goal has been met and 80% of the shipping goal has been identified which is why I said if not selected on this board to re-apply. This board could be brutal for SNA's, and if they do select a higher percentage then many will be waiting until July 2022 for OCS.

Without you in this thread, it'd be nothing but chaos and rabbit holes. Mostly from Navy21. Thank you for the continued context that keeps us all sane.

 

[Tumbleweed33]

The hard goals that came out resulted in a significant cut in SNA, nearly 70% of the OCS SNA shipping goal has been met and 80% of the shipping goal has been identified which is why I said if not selected on this board to re-apply. This board could be brutal for SNA's, and if they do select a higher percentage then many will be waiting until July 2022 for OCS.

Can you tell us the overall OCS SNA shipping goal?

 

[Magrey]

list is out, 302 names on the list.

 

[flatspinturkeyb]

list is out, 302 names on the list.

Always knew we'd get the list on Thursday, 10/28.

 

[ccrutchfield]

Does anyone else think that NRC views our thread on a daily and laughs their asses off at us wiggin out lol

 

[BDavis11]

Always knew we'd get the list on Thursday, 10/28.

came out yesterday at 5:16 pm. That's a wednesday sir lol

 

[Losoto]

There was like 140 something people in all caps though. There isn’t even close to that many AD

Are the all caps people who were pushed from another board?

 

[BDavis11]

Are the all caps people who were pushed from another board?

Another good assumption. The world may never know. I doubt it though.

 

[BDavis11]

I guess we can start placing bets on what day we will get results (as a whole not individual). Or would we rather wait til Monday?

 

[WorldWar33.3]

I saw people with lower case names. I thought they were added as a goof!

 

[Michael Campbell]

How does the board review the applications? Do they start reviewing and ProRec-Y people as they come across them, or do they view all 302 applicants and then decide which ones get ProRec-Y/N ?

 

[WorldWar33.3]

I guess we can start placing bets on what day we will get results (as a whole not individual). Or would we rather wait til Monday?

I say November 11-14 when I'll be at Rockville in Daytona. I'm either going to laugh or cry at the results. Either way, I'm having a lot of beer

 

[WorldWar33.3]

How does the board review the applications? Do they start reviewing and ProRec-Y people as they come across them, or do they view all 302 applicants and then decide which ones get ProRec-Y/N ?

Yessir. From what I've read, the board members take less than 3 minutes looking at your application, then decide Pro Rec Y/N, then onto the next