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Leaving Vietnam vs AFG

Brett327

Well-Known Member
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
He put Jake Sullivan and Susan Rice in his cabinet.
Neither of those individuals serves in a cabinet level position (not Senate confirmed, nor in the Presidential line of succession), nor was Susan Rice, as a domestic policy advisor, likely consulted on Afghanistan policy. Nice try.
 

Hair Warrior

Well-Known Member
Contributor
We are talking about phrogs and 60As here so not exactly cutting edge stuff. Very different than the Iranians getting then brand new cutting edge F-14s.
Well, the MRAP didn’t even exist before Iraq/Afghanistan. One could call the MRAP not very cutting edge, but if IEDs remain part of the 21st century battlefield I think China/Russia will try to reverse engineer them (if they haven’t already).

BT



^ I don’t fully trust the news source, but the headline is sure to grab attention. Something to keep an eye on/ independently corroborate…
 

RobLyman

- hawk Pilot
pilot
None
Seriously? You think a small piece of tin makes an aircraft airworthy? You think the "Taliban Aviation Administration" is going to frown on flying a plane without a data plate? As someone who has been part of an effort to source parts for 50 year old combat helicopters I can tell you that NO ONE ever asks for proof we have a data plate. And that is using the open legal market.
OK, the 46s were being operated by contractors, so when you consider the options, JDAMs, explosives, etc...are not immediately available options. Removing the data plate makes it much less valuable to sell (the whole aircraft) on the legitimate market. They might have even had a value with regard to the insurance company. ie we don't pay off unless you provide the data plate. Removing the drive shaft takes it out of commission until a replacement can be obtained. As civilians, these guys were probably just happy to get out of there. They executed the plan they were given, then got the f#$@ out.
 

robav8r

Well-Known Member
None
Contributor
Neither of those individuals serves in a cabinet level position (not Senate confirmed, nor in the Presidential line of succession), nor was Susan Rice, as a domestic policy advisor, likely consulted on Afghanistan policy. Nice try.
Brett, please tell me you're not suggesting that someone as influential as Susan Rice was to the Obama administration and Democratic power politics is not a player in major policy decisions just because she's not filling an official cabinet position?
 

Jim123

DD-214 in hand and I'm gonna party like it's 1998
pilot
I suspect the data plate grabs were for sentimental reasons and that somebody took that initiative on the spot. It's not like those old phrogs are marketable one way or the other, whether the hypothetical customer is an entity who likes us or hates us.

If you have a large, flat blade screwdriver then you can pop the thing off in about ten seconds, though you'll bend and mangle it a little. If you have a drill and a ⅛" drill bit then you can remove one, cleanly, in about thirty seconds.

Removing the driveshafts, that was a pretty expedient way to disable them and their flying days are probably done for good. If somebody badly wants to see them flying again, and it would have to be for propaganda reasons, they're going to have to go to a lot of effort to procure a replacement part. The moment hasn't passed but the timing is fading fast for much propaganda value from the "evil American Saigon/Kabul evacuation helicopter in Taliban hands and gracing the skies, Allah be praised."


Where are they going to get a #1 driveshaft? Will some other country covertly supply the part and expertise all just to poke us in the eye? New part off the black market, custom made part, 3D printed part, some other origin? Who's going to install it? Maybe the same country that supplied it. Maybe one of the Afghan Air Force mechanics we trained, or maybe most of those guys have gone underground and are hiding. Anything is possible if we play "what if?" We left behind plenty of flyable aircraft but I'm not holding my breath on those phrogs.
 

Brett327

Well-Known Member
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
Brett, please tell me you're not suggesting that someone as influential as Susan Rice was to the Obama administration and Democratic power politics is not a player in major policy decisions just because she's not filling an official cabinet position?
Does the Domestic Policy Advisor sit in on Principal’s meetings where plans and policy decisions are made. Probably not. Whether she was consulted on the execution of the withdrawal, we can only speculate. The main thrust of my post was to encourage @Wareal to get his own facts straight before throwing flaccid spears toward an executive branch process that he apparently doesn’t understand.
That, my dear Rob, is what I’m suggesting. ?
 

Hotdogs

I don’t care if I hurt your feelings
pilot
Well, the MRAP didn’t even exist before Iraq/Afghanistan. One could call the MRAP not very cutting edge, but if IEDs remain part of the 21st century battlefield I think China/Russia will try to reverse engineer them (if they haven’t already).

Building vehicles with V-Hull and CIED technology isn’t what I would call something “ground breaking” for Russian and Chinese defense manufacturers. They likely already had access to this stuff in Syria/Iraq.
I suspect the data plate grabs were for sentimental reasons and that somebody took that initiative on the spot. It's not like those old phrogs are marketable one way or the other, whether the hypothetical customer is an entity who likes us or hates us.

If you have a large, flat blade screwdriver then you can pop the thing off in about ten seconds, though you'll bend and mangle it a little. If you have a drill and a ⅛" drill bit then you can remove one, cleanly, in about thirty seconds.

Removing the driveshafts, that was a pretty expedient way to disable them and their flying days are probably done for good. If somebody badly wants to see them flying again, and it would have to be for propaganda reasons, they're going to have to go to a lot of effort to procure a replacement part. The moment hasn't passed but the timing is fading fast for much propaganda value from the "evil American Saigon/Kabul evacuation helicopter in Taliban hands and gracing the skies, Allah be praised."


Where are they going to get a #1 driveshaft? Will some other country covertly supply the part and expertise all just to poke us in the eye? New part off the black market, custom made part, 3D printed part, some other origin? Who's going to install it? Maybe the same country that supplied it. Maybe one of the Afghan Air Force mechanics we trained, or maybe most of those guys have gone underground and are hiding. Anything is possible if we play "what if?" We left behind plenty of flyable aircraft but I'm not holding my breath on those phrogs.

You guys are forgetting that two full Marine battalions were on deck. Those aircraft are likely going to missing more than just a drive shaft.
 

Jim123

DD-214 in hand and I'm gonna party like it's 1998
pilot
You guys are forgetting that two full Marine battalions were on deck. Those aircraft are likely going to missing more than just a drive shaft.
That's what I was alluding to by initiative on the spot, and I'm glad there were guys who were there who think that way.
 

taxi1

Well-Known Member
pilot
I suspect the data plate grabs were for sentimental reasons and that somebody took that initiative on the spot. It's not like those old phrogs are marketable one way or the other, whether the hypothetical customer is an entity who likes us or hates us.

If you have a large, flat blade screwdriver then you can pop the thing off in about ten seconds, though you'll bend and mangle it a little. If you have a drill and a ⅛" drill bit then you can remove one, cleanly, in about thirty seconds.

Removing the driveshafts, that was a pretty expedient way to disable them and their flying days are probably done for good. If somebody badly wants to see them flying again, and it would have to be for propaganda reasons, they're going to have to go to a lot of effort to procure a replacement part. The moment hasn't passed but the timing is fading fast for much propaganda value from the "evil American Saigon/Kabul evacuation helicopter in Taliban hands and gracing the skies, Allah be praised."


Where are they going to get a #1 driveshaft? Will some other country covertly supply the part and expertise all just to poke us in the eye? New part off the black market, custom made part, 3D printed part, some other origin? Who's going to install it? Maybe the same country that supplied it. Maybe one of the Afghan Air Force mechanics we trained, or maybe most of those guys have gone underground and are hiding. Anything is possible if we play "what if?" We left behind plenty of flyable aircraft but I'm not holding my breath on those phrogs.
I keep thinking of Cuba and their fleet of pre-Communism cars. We might see some phrogs flying into the 2050s.

32349
 

Jim123

DD-214 in hand and I'm gonna party like it's 1998
pilot
I keep thinking of Cuba and their fleet of pre-Communism cars. We might see some phrogs flying into the 2050s.
That's part of what I mean when I say if they want the parts badly enough then they'll find a way, but it's a question of willpower and resources.

Let's say a year from now- you and I see it as one of the dear old phrogs but to most people those will be just another (former) American helicopter, so not a lot of propaganda value. If it's logistics they want and unless it's a third party ponying up the support free or cheap, their resources are probably better spent on maintaining Russian-origin aircraft. Those hulks will end up wasting away or maybe one of them will become a gate guard at the museum of the great Islamic Taliban holy victory revolution of 2021 or whatever (which I doubt).

The Iranian F-14s aren't an apples to apples comparison. Iran may be a lot of things but technologically backward is not one of them. And maybe they step up and put those phrogs back in the air, which they're certainly capable of doing and they do enjoy poking us in the eye, but again, the propaganda value from that would come down to "so what?"
 

HSMPBR

Not a misfit toy
pilot
Building vehicles with V-Hull and CIED technology isn’t what I would call something “ground breaking” for Russian and Chinese defense manufacturers. They likely already had access to this stuff in Syria/Iraq.


You guys are forgetting that two full Marine battalions were on deck. Those aircraft are likely going to missing more than just a drive shaft.
They probably harvested parts in hopes they can find a way to bolt them on -53s.
 

scoolbubba

Brett327 gargles ballsacks
pilot
Contributor
Building vehicles with V-Hull and CIED technology isn’t what I would call something “ground breaking” for Russian and Chinese defense manufacturers. They likely already had access to this stuff in Syria/Iraq.


You guys are forgetting that two full Marine battalions were on deck. Those aircraft are likely going to missing more than just a drive shaft.

From a buddy on the watch floor:

"After the VBIED, the Marines went mad max on HKIA. That place is fucking destroyed."
 

Hair Warrior

Well-Known Member
Contributor
I trust the Tulsa World to have contacts in an OK congressman’s office staff. It seems like a reputable paper for local news, and congressional offices are usually quick to refute fake news (i.e. if the congressman was really CONUS when a newspaper is reporting he is in Central Asia). The other link, not so much.
 
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