This has not happened for SNA or SNFO in at least 15 years, it is in a way due to over selection due to lower recruiting numbers needed by NRC, that itself can be due to many things as you look at what you need at the end, you then work back to get the recruitment numbers making sure to include average attrition. If attrition drops in any pipeline you need less, if it goes up you need more, if the end numbers are lower less are needed as well.As explained to me by my XO/CO this is a recurring Rollercoaster. We are in a low and slow due to over recruitment/covid/backups in Pcola and else where in the fleet. Once those smooth out or start moving there is gonna be a significant jump in quotas both NFO and SNA.
Would you say that the Navy's pilot shortage is over then? Or is the problem more so that the pipeline is still backed up from issues that arose in 2020 and 2021?This has not happened for SNA or SNFO in at least 15 years, it is in a way due to over selection due to lower recruiting numbers needed by NRC, that itself can be due to many things as you look at what you need at the end, you then work back to get the recruitment numbers making sure to include average attrition. If attrition drops in any pipeline you need less, if it goes up you need more, if the end numbers are lower less are needed as well.
The numbers needed for FY 22 were essentially already shipped to OCS by the time the actual numbers needed came out, and when the backup issues hit where they needed to halt shipping most of FY 23 had already shipped.
Don't expect any jump in yearly quotas unless the USN decides they need more aviators in the fleet.
There never was a pilot shortage in regards to new accessions, it was a retention issue. You cannot fix retention issues with more new accessions since a newly winged pilot won't have the qualifications or experience as a LCDR looking at leaving AD.Would you say that the Navy's pilot shortage is over then? Or is the problem more so that the pipeline is still backed up from issues that arose in 2020 and 2021?
so it’s the worst time in 15 years for anyone looking to be a naval aviator? I’m nowhere close to aging out but man. Having to wait another two years to get something sounds killer.This has not happened for SNA or SNFO in at least 15 years, it is in a way due to over selection due to lower recruiting numbers needed by NRC, that itself can be due to many things as you look at what you need at the end, you then work back to get the recruitment numbers making sure to include average attrition. If attrition drops in any pipeline you need less, if it goes up you need more, if the end numbers are lower less are needed as well.
The numbers needed for FY 22 were essentially already shipped to OCS by the time the actual numbers needed came out, and when the backup issues hit where they needed to halt shipping most of FY 23 had already shipped.
Don't expect any jump in yearly quotas unless the USN decides they need more aviators in the fleet.
The next pilot/NFO board as in the May board is selecting for 24/25 now?So the dashboard has an updated board schedule reflecting the next pilot nfo board selecting “fy24/fy25 quotas”. Not sure if that changes much but @exNavyOffRec can chime in on that part
That’s what it’s showing. Hasn’t been published yet though.The next pilot/NFO board as in the May board is selecting for 24/25 now?
Sheesh, fy25 is a hot minute from now. That’d suck to wait that long after being selected in MayThat’s what it’s showing. Hasn’t been published yet though.
True! Being AD I’m not worried about that wait. However I def busters and that kind of wait from the civilian side though. So much would be in limbo just waitingSheesh, fy25 is a hot minute from now. That’d suck to wait that long after being selected in May
It is pretty much what I said would happen.So the dashboard has an updated board schedule reflecting the next pilot nfo board selecting “fy24/fy25 quotas”. Not sure if that changes much but @exNavyOffRec can chime in on that part
Hope you like the Middle East and a nice dose of Bahrain and maybe if you’re really lucky… DuqmHonestly, I like this decision because they might open pilot for the May board. If not, I am still not worry about it because would like either or designator. I am in the same boat as Davis, staying at my current command for another year or two will be great and then leave right before deployment. However, would not mind going on my upcoming deployment because I never done an east coast cruise.
robbing peter to pay paul again?It is pretty much what I said would happen.