OP, keep in mind the high O-4 selection rates in the past 2-3 years have been affected by at least two major factors:
- YG 09 and 10 were wildly undermanned (don't quote me on this, but I think on the order of 40% below expectations) due to the API fiasco that happened back when they were in API;
- Airline hiring boom (paused temporarily by COVID but back in nearly full swing as far as I can tell);
and maybe 3: people burnt the heck out with the COVID restrictions and lifestyle that we seem to be in.
When I was in similar shoes as you, I took the time to immediately evaluate what I wanted to do on the outside. I asked for a shore tour that would give me some outside benefits (didn't get it, but asked for it), used TA to get a Master's Certificate (the Navy laughed in my face when I applied for GEV... literally, my detailer responded back with "hahahahahahah I almost just spit out my coffee all over my keyboard - people with your record don't get picked up for this!"), applied to an ANG Unit and an Airline... and then made DH for the above listed reasons at the same time the Guard Unit and Airline rescinded their offers to me due to COVID (the Guard Unit's pilots who were airline guys quickly snapped up the active duty orders and put them above their manning requirement).
With that said, while I'm happy and grateful to be still flying Navy and having a job, I am glad I took the time to figure out what I wanted to do and I proud that I interviewed successfully in a career field I remain interested in.
What Fleet and Fleet Job are you going to? PM me if you don't want to disclose here.