I should probably lurk and watch the fracas that ensues, but I have to jump in here.
Kraemer:
I wouldn't think of branding you a liberal for having an opposing point of view on this one issue. It's good to hear, especially from a prior (current?) enlisted, that not everyone is buying the popular line on this one.
But I support military intervention in Iraq. With regards to your reason 1) We did give some chemical weapons technology to Iraq. We also sold arms to Iran (Ollie North anyone?), which perpetuated the Iran-Iraq war and contributed to Saddam's bloodlust in Kuwait. In retrospect, it probably wasn't the smartest thing for the U.S. to get involved in. But does that mean that because we aided him in some way that we now cannot remove him? Doesn't making the mistake mean it is that much more critical that we go in there and fix things?
I don't find deterrence a reliable strategy for containing Iraq's potential nuclear threat. Yes, it is remotely possible that Saddam (or whomever) would position such a weapon in the U.S. This alone is reason enough to intervene.
More likely, however, what if he re-invades Kuwait? And he has a nuke? Would the U.S. be so quick to jump in again? What if he bolts a warhead onto a SCUD and sends it into Israel, Riyadh, or the men and women at Incirlik?
What if he's sneaky enough to hand it off to some terrorist group, getting it out of his hands and perhaps positioned against a European target? These are hypotheticals. And perhaps unlikely ones. But the catastrophy of September 11 changed the entire calculus. These possibilities cannot be dismissed as Tom Clancy material anymore. We cannot wait to see how much worse it will get.
The idea of deterrence is based on what they call in game theory a 'rational actor.' Saddam is anything but rational. As you know, he gassed his own people, and sent tens of thousands to die against Iran. What's more,
this guy started a war that he knew would end with U.S. intervention. If you were a dictator, would you start a quarrel with the American military? Marc Bowden, author of Black Hawk Down, wrote a great character sketch of Saddam you can see here:
http://www.theatlantic.com/issues/2002/05/bowden.htm
When told by his generals of the imminent American push, Saddam ordered his generals to seize American soldiers as POWs, and strap them onto Iraqi tanks, thinking Iraqi forces would then be invulnerable, since Americans would never risk taking the lives of their own, and the tanks could roll all the way to Mecca. Does this sound like a rational idea to you?
3) The best argument I've seen against the war is the one you mentioned: Saddam may feel he has nothing left to lose, and use whatever WMD he has stockpiled against American troops. That is a legitimate concern, and one I would like to see addressed more in the media.
4) Lets make one thing clear: our enemy, post-911, is not Iraq. It's not Al-qaeda. It's not Islam, Arabs, or even Islamic fundamentalism. It's much bigger than all that. If we could snap our fingers and make every last Al-Qaeda member and sympathizer disappear, could everyone just kick back and relax? No way.
America is a target because we are successful, powerful, and free. We are everything the countries of the middle east are not. And they hate us for it. They blame us for their failure to succeed. They do not blame their oppression of women, dependence on oil, and state censorship for their failure to adapt to the modern world. They blame American meddling, and they fastidiously adhere to a religion that has resisted 1400 years of progress.
To win this war, as one commentator put it, we can do one of two things: Fail, and allow them to overtake us. Or force them to modernize, to adapt modern frameworks of a society that allows a free flow of information, demands respect for women and their right to work, and, more importantly, instill them with the unwavering principle that they have a say in who runs their government, and how.
There isn't a special forces unit on the planet that can do this.
Iran--the people of Iran, anyway--is moving in this direction. But when it comes to American intervention, Iraq is a logical starting point. The issue of WMD is a credible one, but it is just the tip of the iceberg. The people there are tired of living under a maniac dictator. They do not care for the USA much, nor should it matter to us if they do or not, so long as they leave us alone. We want to install a government there that will be stable, democratic, and self-sustaining. It is a reasonable goal that will make the U.S. safer--both my removing a threat, and by applying pressure in neighboring countries, such as Iran, Syria, even Saudi Arabia, to pull their head out of their ass before they get the same treatment Saddam did.