That is true, but meant for the question to be more focused on the end customers and who would be hit the hardest as the globe scrambled for crude to fuel their economies.
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NEWS Seahawks Sink Houthi Boats
- Thread starter IKE
- Start date
If I'm not mistaken, China is the single largest buyer or Iranian oil. Sanctions have meant all but a dozen or two states are customers. Slowing (or temporarily stopping) flow through the SoH would obviously affect other exporters, and would push the price at the pump way up, but it's not a free play for them (Iran). They'll suffer for it as well, if not more than others. I'm NOT suggesting they wouldn't do it, but it wouldn't necessarily be in their interest unless they were looking to buy time and a modicum of leverage to get back to the negotiating table - which also will probably not go well for them.
I dont care what your political leanings are, every mil member should like this.
Maybe not. As with a lot of things, it depends and given the fact that Israel has shown how easily they've been able to strike Iran and how big an impact they've had puts serious doubt in Iran's ability to effectively 'close' the strait for long, if at all.
According to DIA’s unclassified Iran Military Power Report, Iran has an “inventory of more than 5,000 naval mines, which include contact and influence mines.” Both the DIA and ONI reports go into additional detail about Iran’s minelaying doctrine, operations, and capabilities.
Iran could close the SOH if they wanted. Who knows for how long, but I bet Lloyds of London would pull the insurance for any tanker attempting to sneak through until the SOH was reopened. Without maritime insurance, those tankers aren’t sailing anywhere.
They won't be able to close anything if they can't deliver them.
Iran has a lot of capabilities on paper, reality is showing that them using them effectively is a different story.
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They’ll be able to deliver them.