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Mishap rates and what affects them (thread split)

phrogdriver

phrogdriver

More humble than you would understand
pilot
Super Moderator
At the same time though, that can lead you down a rabbit hole of second guessing.

I will evaluate some decisions by,"If someone asked why I did X, would I be able to justify it later?" That question still has to take second place to "What's the right thing to do NOW?"

If you go to far, you'll never go flying. Having been on the wrong side of a circular office table (apparently the long green one was in storage along with the mythical pitchers of ice water), even reasonable judgment calls will be examined and second-guessed if the results don't break your way later.
 
M

MasterBates

Well-Known Member
In my experience, it's been a long wardroom table, with the CO/XO and DH's at the far end with you standing at attention at the far end. It was a long while before I was offered a seat.

It basically degraded into a long discussion into DHs and above arguing about PA vs DA.

I just stood there and let them go back and forth.

2nd Law of JOPA Thermodynamics:
Any confusion created between the hinges on details of knowledges, reduces appearance of lack of knowledges on your part.

Corollary: Any work done to remove confusion in one area, increases confusion to a greater extent overall.
 
E

exhelodrvr

Well-Known Member
pilot
phrogdriver said:
After the master caution light goes off, take a look around and see if you're still flying. If you are, you probably have time to think about what to do and not jack things up and make them worse.

I think about the study that was done with civilian pilots. This is a paraphrasing, so please help with the details if you know. They first had pilots react as they thought they should--every pilot thought he had impeccable instincts and the Right Stuff, so they reacted immediately, and something like 66% of their corrective actions were incorrect.

For the next round, they forced the pilots to count to 10 before doing any procedures. Their success rates went up markedly.
Click to expand...

That would certainly result in fewer "good" engines being shut down!
 
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