What do you think is the major cause of this? Does anyone else have any opinions as to why this maybe happening?
BLUF (to bring that back!!) The program is failing because the Navy selected from an open pool of candidates rather than targeting this program at specific rating skill sets.
When this program was first announced, my opinion was that it would allow for a career-flyer program like the Army has. You stay in squadrons and don't have to worry about DH or trying to compete for command, so all you have to do it be the best pilot and tactician you can.
This would provide benefit to the squadron in much the same manner as a 'Super JO' does; far more experience than a typical JO and not concerned with more hour-draining jobs that a DH has to worry about.
Of course this plan would only work if the CWO's were quality individuals who would excel in this position.
Where I think the program went off-track is that it was open to any and all ratings. The program should have specifically targeted the AW rating so you have personnel who already understand aircraft, systems, how flights actually occur as well as some tactics. But, with rates, YN's for example, competing on equal footing as AW's you have personnel who may have been in the Navy and maybe even in an aviation squadron but no little to nothing about aviation, the aircraft and the mission.
I still think the program has merit in light of the Navy's push to provide more aviation capability to the SEALS. One reason TF-160 is so S.H. is that they have guys who have done nothing for the last 15 years but fly the same aircraft and mission. I think everyone here would agree that if you could keep pilots in the cockpit for an entire career, then you'll have more proficient pilots.
If the Navy is serious about dedicating a capability to the SEALS, it would be prudent to look at how the other services (ARSOC and AFSOC specifically) man their units and try to emulate that model.
Having a pilot who could be in the cockpit for the next 15 years is a great asset if the capability is groomed effectively. Unfortunately, the Navy opened the program to those hand-chosen individuals who may look great on paper and may be an excellent LPOs or shift supervisors but have zero experience in actual aviation. The Navy should reevaluate the candidate pool for this program and target specific ratings for the CWO program.
This will provide recruitment benefit for those (or that) specific rating that is only eligible for the program. The recruiter can then discuss the CWO program as a benefit to enlisting in specific rates.