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  1. Spekkio

    Leaving Vietnam vs AFG

    This problem was solved by installing locked doors to access cockpits on commercial aircraft. Afghanistan has had the structure and processes in place to self-govern for over a decade. We're never going to fix the fact that the people who live there prefer a politically inconvenient ideology.
  2. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    Unless she is designing experiments evaluating vaccine effectiveness and risks, actively leading a team of researchers on the topics, and producing original published research that stands up to peer review, her status as a PhD is about as relevant as the color of my car. Her area of expertise is...
  3. Spekkio

    How to do this right

    I'm not a doctor, so maybe you are or maybe you aren't. I will say that your life experiences that drove you to be hospitilized pale in comparison to the mental stress you will experience as a naval officer. You aren't equipped to do the job. Find something else to do.
  4. Spekkio

    How to do this right

    You aren't medically qualified to join the military, let alone become a naval officer.
  5. Spekkio

    Is greasing the groove really the best way to increase pushups?

    I've maxed push-ups every time. I do 168 push-ups a year; everything else is a weight lifting routine. You also have to ensure you have the core strength to last 2 minutes in the up position to actively rest between, which with the change to planks is interesting because now you'll need to do...
  6. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    It's important to understand what the CDC is, and what it isn't. What it is: a federal executive branch entity charged with making national public health recommendations to federally elected officials. They aren't a neutral party in any scientific debate, and they aren't concerned with any...
  7. Spekkio

    FITREP 101

    If someone spends 15+ years in the Navy and decides (yes, decides) not to learn how to write and teach others to write EVALs and FITREPs as a DIVO / DH / XO, then nothing is going to make that person learn.
  8. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    I'm not a believer that counting methodologies for cause of death accounts for incorrectly attributing COVID-19 as the cause of death for over 600k people, but when we're down to averaging extremely few fatalities over a 7-day average in areas with a vaccination rate of 60% or better, I have to...
  9. Spekkio

    Bonhomme Richard fire

  10. Spekkio

    FITREP 101

    It's completely okay to write something in block 42 like "A top EP performer, but rated lower due to member's desire to separate and to control my RSCA."
  11. Spekkio

    FITREP 101

    I disagree with the bullet points noted above. Recommending a JO for CO at sea and flag officer in block 41 tells the board (particularly statutory) that you don't know how to write fitreps more than it says anything about the JO's performance, and could lead people to say "so is this JO...
  12. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    Everything gets magnified because it's COVID-19. I'm sure if we looked hard enough, we could find instances of brain damage and other complications from all sorts of normally benign diseases.
  13. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    Unfortunately, that's not the tune coming from our federally elected political leadership, nor from the leaders of many states and municipalities. Hence the frustration. The case fatality rate in Mar-Apr of last year was 7%. It stabilized at 1.5-2% from last summer to this spring when testing...
  14. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#county-view The cases map looks ominous, but the deaths and hospitalization maps are completely benign. The CDC isn't even tracking fatalities per 100k in roughly half of the country. It's over. Give it a rest. It's the internet, so of course everyone...
  15. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    Not one of those yellow journalism articles cites any statistics that hospitals are nearing capacity. Because they can't: That's why they use relative terms like 'omfg hospitilizations have tripled!' Sounds a lot more ominous than "hospitilizations have returned to levels seen in summer 2020...
  16. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    Citation needed. The amount of hospitilzations is a tiny fraction of what it was 6 months ago. Ultimately irrelevant. If we aren't taxing hospital capacity and people are not dying in large numbers, there's no reason to care about COVID case counts any more than there's reason to care about...
  17. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    No, they aren't. In the first case, if the hospital capacity exists then there should be no restrictions or precautions put out at all. In the second case, restrictions and precautions will last indefinitely until the entirety of society is vaccinated or the disease burns itself out. Have you...
  18. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    Fair enough. Does that change the overall point that it's common for government and multiple levels to enact laws and regulations to discourage the behaviors wink outlined?
  19. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    I'm not going to enumerate every way in which the government does this when you can easily google it. The bottom line is that COVID regulations aren't any different in this regard. Only 11 states don't tax pre-prepared food (e.g. roasted chickens, salad bar items, frozen meals, etc.) and goods...
  20. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    The moving of goalpoasts throughout the pandemic has been extremely frustrating. First it was about not overloading hospitals. Then it moved to minimizing fatalities until a vaccine could be produced. Now it moved to preventing infections altogether, even if those infections are mild.
  21. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    Except smoking indoors is outlawed in most if not all of America. Several states and municipalities have instituted surcharges and taxes on goods that are deemed unhealthy. Additionally, you pay sales taxes on these goods at grocery stores when fresh food is tax free. Also outlawed in all 50...
  22. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    Perhaps they realize that the decisions you are referring to have marginal, if any, effect at reducing the infection rate or mutation rate.
  23. Spekkio

    CJCS responds to Rep. Gaetz

    Same page.
  24. Spekkio

    CJCS responds to Rep. Gaetz

    I think that this is at the heart of the issue that the USN is facing. It would not be fast or cheap to replenish nuclear subs and carriers, so we generally don't want to use them in scenarios where risk to losing these assets is moderate or high. That's where we get into the cause of the...
  25. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    Your story about your 'friend' is absurd. A police officer stopped him for no reason. Then, without administering a breathalyzer, arrested him for a DUI. Then, with no evidence whatsoever, he was taken to NJP. Then, his appeal was upheld by an independent person. Like, holy fuck man...do you...
  26. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    It's okay for anyone to drive with a BAC under the legal limit. My experience tells me that the only way to get arrested for a DUI when under 0.08 is to drive like a moron.
  27. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    The thumb rule is +0.02-.03 per drink depending on weight and -.01 per hour. We get annual training on this and it's required knowledge for a driver's license exam.
  28. Spekkio

    CJCS responds to Rep. Gaetz

  29. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    "The command" doesn't have to prove anything. You seem stuck on this. A sailor could walk into the COSR and say "I saw SN Timmy drive shitfaced last night." If the PIO finds that report credible, it would be enough to take SN Timmy to mast, despite the fact that this most likely wouldn't hold...
  30. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    Wrong. The NJP was a result of your buddy's decision to drive while intoxicated.
  31. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    Somewhat intersting aside: The Gen-X generation on the graph spanned 15 years; the millenial and boomer generations spanned 20. Angola's got some crazy mortality rate going for people over 10.
  32. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    Yes, it is okay for an employer to take administrative action based on a lower bar than beyond a reasonable doubt. Do you follow sports? Do you not see several cases of leagues taking administrative action against players based on police reports vice outcomes of criminal charges? Or how about...
  33. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    I think that you have a hard time separating the fact that your buddy was able to get his criminal charges dropped from whether he did the act in the first place.
  34. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    First, I've seen NJPs overturned. So what you're saying is that after an independent investigation the PIO recommended NJP, the CO administered NJP, and then after a review of the available evidence, another person found that there was sufficient evidence to take the officer to mast. At what...
  35. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    What was the result of the appeal?
  36. Spekkio

    COVID-19

    The pandemic is over. Stop pretending it's not and find something else to be outraged about.
  37. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    Dude, let's start with the assumption that your mk1 mod 0 CO isn't out to mast and adsep his sailors and officers. The NJP investigation process is an independent process headed by someone other than the CO. In the hypothetical case you are presenting - a bad cop roughs up a 'perp' who is...
  38. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    This, like, isn't a thing.
  39. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    The article implies that active duty sailors living in civilian housing is a problem because of course it is; it makes no mention of the issues you point out or that the move to civilian housing is driven by higher pay / benefits that allow sailors to afford higher quality properties.
  40. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    We still don't look like a 'healthy' demographic distribution, and the 2030 projection is only in 8.5 years. It took China 40 years to see the full impact of reduced child births.
  41. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    Asking for more leniency for DUIs is a terrible position in general. This isn't something that happens by accident. This happens because the person consumed alcohol to the point where he is above the legal limit, operated a motor vehicle while above said limit to put others' lives at risk, and...
  42. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    We're about to face the same thing due to market forces (primarily higher education and health care) making 25-40 year old couples have on average fewer than 2 children.
  43. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    Dude, a large-scale repeat of 9/11 was prevented by installing locked doors to the cockpits of commercial aircraft and installing airport security. It's also prevented by having a normal, functional society based on the rule of law. Everything we did in Iraq and Afghanistan was focused on...
  44. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    It sounds like you guys are talking past each other... On one side are all of the guys who have done tours on a joint planning staff looking at OPLANs that follow the philosophy to plan toward an enemy's worst-case capabilities saying 'wtf are you talking about TACAIR isn't involved' On the...
  45. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    Again, I'm not disputing the value of a joint job when it's done at the right time in an officer's career. The right time, IMO, is generally post-CO. Before that time, the officer should become a master of tactically employing his platform. Additionally, if the detailers waited to send people...
  46. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    He asked a valid question and I think you missed the point. On paper, the requirement is JPME1 prior to command, JPME2 / joint tour prior to major command. In practice, we are pushing post-JOs and post-DHs to get JPME1 done, and using post DHs / post XOs in joint jobs where they change font...
  47. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    I would disagree with this assessment. The COG for a US warship is the CO. In the cultural mantra of preserving the absolute authority and responsibility of the CO, sometimes the ISIC is too hands off at ensuring that uniform, consistent standards are met. The most recent example is a...
  48. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    Your statement was "we may not know where they are" We know where the Jins are.
  49. Spekkio

    NEWS If War Comes, Will the U.S. Navy Be Prepared?

    I'm not sure what you're referencing or why it's relevant to the PLAN. China is investing heavily in its surface fleet, not its submarines. Its approach to ASW is numbers.
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