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Europe under extreme duress

wink

War Hoover NFO.
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
A squadronmate once misspelled a guy's name on his farewell plaque as "BRAIN", and they made it that way. We got all the way to Key West (where the bail was going to be held) before he figured it out.
I had the I Bar cruise plaque made in the PI for us. I provided names and callsigns. After drafts with mis-spellings I gave them a copy of a typed squadron roster so they could verify spellings on what I had given them. It arrived in San Diego with formal names, Robert vs Bob, Terrence vs Terry, and middle names. Of course some guys had no middle name. The cruise plaque was dutifly carved NMN. ? Friend once called the PI "the land of not quite right".
 

ChuckMK23

FERS and TSP contributor!
pilot
Friend once called the PI "the land of not quite right".
Isn't that the truth - I recently had to order a retirement gift for my departing boss Lt Col (who is now on a sweet Skillsbridge tour with FedEx). I think it took 20 emails to correct the error in the service dates of his tail-flash. I could not get the concept passed the Phillipino production worker we were not yet in the 22nd century...It did finally come together, corrected ( and was a pretty sweet gift at the change of command ceremony). I put myself in for a MSM for the effort! ( I put @Brett327 on the endorsement chain, knowing I'd get an easy thumbs up!!)

Screen Shot 2022-05-05 at 8.33.53 PM.png

 
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Random8145

Registered User
Contributor
I don't know if it is a just a funny coincidence or one of those things with how the algorithms monitor you these days, but I came to this thread and after reading it, started browsing books on Amazon and stumbled across this: Brian the Brain
 

Griz882

Frightening children with the Griz-O-Copter!
pilot
Contributor
CTTG/ASMD . . . it’s more than just a good idea.
I have been watching Forte11 (a Global Hawk) via ADS-B Stack Exchange running a race track over the reported sinking area for several hours. Now it is gone, so I imagine the Russian frigate has joined the Moskova.

E08509EB-784B-4185-B07E-184E38287B89.jpeg
 

Griz882

Frightening children with the Griz-O-Copter!
pilot
Contributor
Why would an RQ-4 be squawking at FL 520, to let the Russians know "don't shoot at me"?
I think it is because they have to in certain airspace, but I don’t know. I also watched a RAF FC-135 take a few laps as well.
 

Randy Daytona

Cold War Relic
pilot
Super Moderator
I see no analysis there, just someone spouting their anxiety on Twitter. Link to actual analysis?

Been swamped at work but wanted to get back to your question. Happened to see that Andrew Sullivan linked to that posting by Mike Mazarr. His take was on the Russian perspective that this could be an existential war to them. Noticed that Tom Nichols also posted the same exact article by Mazarr and expounded upon it here so this might be the analysis you want.


Got kind of curious after both of those mentioned Mr. Mazarr and found that he is a PhD at the Rand Corporation, formerly of the National War College so I reckon that is ok. Coincidentally, Mazarr also just had an article published today in Foreign Affairs. One part in particular caught my attention:

The second vulnerability of the postwar order is the growing influence of what can be termed the “hedging middle” in world politics—countries that prefer to avoid taking sides in the U.S.-Chinese and U.S.-Russian rivalries and therefore hesitate to enforce the norms of the order. These countries—including Brazil, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and Turkey—participate in and support many elements of the international system. They broadly support the order’s norms and typically respect them. Some of these countries are set to become major economic and military players. Yet if more of them come to see a Chinese-Russian axis as a useful counterweight to U.S. and Western dominance and therefore defect from U.S.-led institutions, the postwar order will be in deep trouble.


Some of the analysis that I have found to be interesting is that Tom Nichols puts this whole invasion on Putin, while Peter Zeihan says this is a historical Russian strategy. Whether the Tsars, the Soviets or now Putin, it is all the same based upon geography and why Zeihan thinks that Kiev is less important than Odessa and that the Russians will continue to push west into Moldova - and perhaps come into conflict with NATO first in Romania. Both guys make solid cases - your thoughts?
 

Random8145

Registered User
Contributor
Been swamped at work but wanted to get back to your question. Happened to see that Andrew Sullivan linked to that posting by Mike Mazarr. His take was on the Russian perspective that this could be an existential war to them. Noticed that Tom Nichols also posted the same exact article by Mazarr and expounded upon it here so this might be the analysis you want.


Got kind of curious after both of those mentioned Mr. Mazarr and found that he is a PhD at the Rand Corporation, formerly of the National War College so I reckon that is ok. Coincidentally, Mazarr also just had an article published today in Foreign Affairs. One part in particular caught my attention:

The second vulnerability of the postwar order is the growing influence of what can be termed the “hedging middle” in world politics—countries that prefer to avoid taking sides in the U.S.-Chinese and U.S.-Russian rivalries and therefore hesitate to enforce the norms of the order. These countries—including Brazil, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and Turkey—participate in and support many elements of the international system. They broadly support the order’s norms and typically respect them. Some of these countries are set to become major economic and military players. Yet if more of them come to see a Chinese-Russian axis as a useful counterweight to U.S. and Western dominance and therefore defect from U.S.-led institutions, the postwar order will be in deep trouble.


Some of the analysis that I have found to be interesting is that Tom Nichols puts this whole invasion on Putin, while Peter Zeihan says this is a historical Russian strategy. Whether the Tsars, the Soviets or now Putin, it is all the same based upon geography and why Zeihan thinks that Kiev is less important than Odessa and that the Russians will continue to push west into Moldova - and perhaps come into conflict with NATO first in Romania. Both guys make solid cases - your thoughts?
I think the Russian forces will get their butts handed to them if they come up against NATO forces.
 

Griz882

Frightening children with the Griz-O-Copter!
pilot
Contributor
You can’t just opt out of ATC in a foreign country just because you’re doing ISR.
I’m sure the area is busy every day (if not every hour) but here is grab from just a few minutes ago featuring a NATO E3 Sentry, USN P-3, and Romanian UAV.

C3EFB3C1-0CA5-47D3-92F0-F62F7A9192C8.jpeg
 
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