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Weather

ChuckMK23 said:
I did - we got a great deal on a new build condo which is what drove the location. In hindsight we just should have rented in Chics Beach or Gent or Va Beach from an outgoing squadron mate. But we did well income wise renting to AF folks at Langley. That bridge-tunnel drive sucked. Which is why I was constantly shamed for missing FOD walkdowns lol.
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Can't expect you to walk if you are not physically there. We had to have the snack bar secured until finish.
 
I wish I had tracked this. At the same time as the Nor'easter above, the remnants of Typhoon Halong (was a Cat 4 equivalent) made it all the way to Alaska. It traveled over a huge freakishly warm blob of ocean in the North Pacific and hit Alaska with Cat 2-3 winds and surge.

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Here's a chart showing temperatures relative to climatology.

1760627662215.png

Animation

Washington Post
 
Jamaica is about to be destroyed, unfortunately. Soon to be hurricane Melissa is going to crawl over the island at a painfully slow rate while likely being category four strength. Haiti is also going to be bludgeoned.

This is the 4 day rain forecast, at which time the hurricane will have just finally arrived at Jamaica.

1761395869482.png

Showing the hurricane expected to be just to the south of Jamaica at the start of day four.

1761396089018.png

We have a lot of Naval assets in the Caribbean at the moment, I expect someone will be diverted for rescue ops.
 
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taxi1 said:
Jamaica is about to be destroyed, unfortunately. Soon to be hurricane Melissa is going to crawl over the island at a painfully slow rate while likely being category four strength. Haiti is also going to be bludgeoned.

This is the 4 day rain forecast, at which time the hurricane will have just finally arrived at Jamaica.

View attachment 43767

Showing the hurricane expected to be just to the south of Jamaica at the start of day four.

View attachment 43768

We have a lot of Naval assets in the Caribbean at the moment, I expect someone will be diverted for rescue ops.
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So you're saying my 24 hour Montego Bay layover next weekend is gonna be rad?
 
taxi1 said:
We have a lot of Naval assets in the Caribbean at the moment, I expect someone will be diverted for rescue ops.
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Are those rescue ops helping lethality? They don’t rescue people for goodwill, shipmate.

:rolleyes:


In all seriousness, it looks bad down there…
 
taxi1 said:
Jamaica is about to be destroyed, unfortunately. Soon to be hurricane Melissa is going to crawl over the island at a painfully slow rate while likely being category four strength. Haiti is also going to be bludgeoned.

This is the 4 day rain forecast, at which time the hurricane will have just finally arrived at Jamaica.

View attachment 43767

Showing the hurricane expected to be just to the south of Jamaica at the start of day four.

View attachment 43768

We have a lot of Naval assets in the Caribbean at the moment, I expect someone will be diverted for rescue ops.
Click to expand...
I hadn’t seen this until you mentioned it but looks very bad - latest forecasts are saying a Cat 5 at landfall on Tuesday.
 
I was just talking to the kid the other day, as he was asking about Katrina. I probably ignorantly said that most major hurricanes tend to weaken before landfall (like Katrina did), and that very few (if any?) have made landfall at full Cat 5 in spite of many storms reaching Cat 5 status at some point.....yes I know cat 5 isn't the definition of "major hurricane", but I digress. Now that I google that, while I remember Andrew from the nightly news as a kid like I remember Desert Storm, or Waco, or the OKC bombing, or that American kid getting caned in Singapore, none of the rest were in my lifetime. Looking like Jamaica may just find out what that is like, which I'm sure is gonna be really tragic for a lot of people and families.
 
MIDNJAC said:
I was just talking to the kid the other day, as he was asking about Katrina. I probably ignorantly said that most major hurricanes tend to weaken before landfall (like Katrina did), and that very few (if any?) have made landfall at full Cat 5 in spite of many storms reaching Cat 5 status at some point.....yes I know cat 5 isn't the definition of "major hurricane", but I digress. Now that I google that, while I remember Andrew from the nightly news as a kid like I remember Desert Storm, or Waco, or the OKC bombing, or that American kid getting caned in Singapore, none of the rest were in my lifetime. Looking like Jamaica may just find out what that is like, which I'm sure is gonna be really tragic for a lot of people and families.
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Sad but true. This monster is unfolding in amazingly slow motion.
 
The rain saturating the ground prior to arrival won’t be good at all.

The 40” spot below is where there is a 7000’ mountain.

1761565625965.png
 
The barometer at the center of the hurricane right now is 26.92", so the pressure at sea level in the eye is equivalent to the pressure at 3000' on a typical 29.92" day (about a 1000' up per inch of mercury).

To put it another way, if a plane penetrated at a constant 2900' on an altimeter set at 29.92", it'd fly into the water.

EDIT: this led me to wonder if we've lost Hurricane Hunters before. We have.

This incident is a hair raising story. Not a hurricane, didn't lose the airplane (NOAA P-3) but damn close flying in a storm at night off of Newfoundland. Single engine in a P-3 at low altitude in a storm.


The aircraft was flying at 3000 feet, 210 knots with approximately 1700-1800 SHP set on each engine. Moments later, aft crew members’ attention was drawn by flashes of light outside the starboard windows and they observed flames coming from the #3 engine tailpipe accompanied by audible “popping.” Crew members immediately notified the flight station by declaring “fire on #3, flames, flames, flames” over the ICS...

The AC advanced power slightly on engines 1, 2, and 4 to approximately 2500 SHP. The CP began to read the emergency shutdown checklist but had not completed it when the aft crew members observed flames coming from the tailpipe of the #4 engine and announced ”fire on #4”...

Approximately 3 to 5 minutes after stabilization from the shutdown of the #4 engine, the aft crew observed flames from the tailpipe of the #1 engine and announced to the flight station, “fire on #1.” ...Watching the engine RPM drop below 70% and believing he heard a direction to shut down #1, the FE pulled the Emergency shutdown handle for the #1 engine.
 
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