I've givn my $0.2 in a much older thread. I didn't reas all of this one so forgive me if I'm saying things that have already been said:
Good summary. They way I figure, if the good Ensign can repeat an old thread, I can too, sort of.
Lets take a look at some actual numbers.
Lets assume you have $4,000 (before Taxes) that you can spare each month, that you are in a 25% marginal tax rate (Federal, State and local). Traditional IRA/TSP or Roth IRA?
Roth IRAYou gotta pay Uncle 25% leaving you $3,000 to invest. That $3,000 invested each year, same tax rate and an assumed 8% ROI will render you about $875,000 at the end of 40 years. All yours, you paid taxes on the original $3,000 each year (120,000), and no taxes at all on the $755,000 in earnings. WHOA!
Traditional IRA/TSPContribution is tax deferred so you can put the whole $4000 into the IRA/TSP. Uncle gets no part of it, yet. Assuming that you will continue to contribute for 40 years at the same rate, and assume a conservative 8% ROI, after 40 years you will have approximately $1,200,000. Now you gotta pay Uncle for not only your contribution $160,000 but also the $1,040,000 in earnings. Since you flew for Mega Arlines have one of those nice cushy retirement plans, you are in the 40% marginal tax bracket. Assumming constant income and prudent disbursements after you reach 70YO, Uncle is going to want about $480,000 of that leaving you $720,000, WHOA! Roth guys are way ahead. Now if you bought that piece of land in Meridian when you were a STUD, you retire back there, living off the land, not much income except your IRA, your tax bracket is 22%, then Uncle is going to want $264,000, leaving you just shy of a million. Better off than the Roth guys!
Both scenarios assume a prudent annual distribution of the IRAs/TSP. And a radical assumption that tax rates will not go up!
Note: Change the assumptions a bit, assume a more aggressive 10% the Taditional/TSP will yeild $2,200,000, Roth about $1,600,000.
Now you can get to the question of
where to put your money. I will relate one TSP account that I know of:
Civil Service employee retires in December 1996 with $100,000 in a TSP. Has it all in C fund. In 1999 realizes what is going on and shifts all to S fund. In 2000 shifts it all to the F fund and in 2003 she puts it all in S fund. Now at the end of 2004, eight years later, that TSP account is worth $620,000 or over half million dollars in earnings in just 8 years. Actual figures! WHOA. Now had she left it all in the C fund, it would have been worth about $225,000 or a ROI of $125,000.
In the last 5 years, even worse performance in the C fund. Actually a negative 4% average of the five years.
My point is that it is no easy, were it easy and simple, most all would be very rich. You need to not only save but also be knowledgeable about money.