It is becoming less likely to see warfare qualified line officers in recruiting. More and more of those jobs are filled with E-7 and above or the new HR designated officers. I have not seen a warefare qualified guy in my NRD for over 6 years. I am the only fleet experienced officer, and I am a drilling reservist.
While recruiting might be neutral, that is because it is viewed, as mentioned above, as an indication that you have already decided to leave. The thing about recruiting though, is that it is very quantitative. So if a guy does well, he is rewarded, no politics. Rack up the numbers and you will be treated well. Another problem with recruiting and ROTC is that the pool of peer officers you compete with is very small. Hard to break out on a FITREP when you are one of three or four. Big deal. If a guy does decide to stay in, he may be able to survive the recruiting job just as well as anyone that went well outside of his warfare speciality for shore duty. In my day it was better then neutral. I knew three former recruiters that made command and my recruiter made CAG. Still, these day, I wouldn't recommend it to anyone that didn't think he was getting out.