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.......Let us know how wrong this is.
It is also a little puzzling why he claims the few seem to have noticed that crime rates in the US have fallen so dramatically and why no one seems to ask why that has happened. I guess he hasn't cracked a paper recently or watched the news since I have seen that reported repeatedly. The why it is still being debated but NYC seems to have a good handle on focusing on the what and where and maybe that is why their crime rates continue to drop dramatically from the rates they were at 20, 10 and even 5 years ago.
Flash, I would call the 28% difference in burglary between the countries statistically significant, too.
The numbers are interesting. Just curious: how do the studies count crime? Do they use arrests for that particular crime? Convictions? Calls? I ask because one of the major takeaways from a criminal justice class I took in college way back when was that the way crime is counted can significantly effect the numbers.....If the two studies you datamined count crime in different ways, you are comparing apples to oranges with those numbers.
Regarding why crime has dropped, it started dropping off in the late 90's/early 2000's. The studies around that time when I was taking college courses about it pointed to the strongest correlation between the popularity of crack-cocaine and violent crime. NYC was also an outlier in that it was the only major city which saw a significant drop in crime paired with hiring more police. Most cities saw the opposite trend, but that was also due to the way crime statistics were counted, depending on the study (# of arrests for that crime).
I think that the real takeaway is that the percentage of people who legally own guns is not strongly correlated with violent crime rates. All the more reason for people to stick to the "it's my right to defend myself" argument and not the "it lowers crime" or "I need it for hunting" arguments. If anything, it's more of a blow to those seeking more gun regulation in the name of preventing violent crime because it is not likely to statistically affect our crime rate.
"Does a boy get a chance to whitewash a fence every day?”So in summary I wasted a good chunk of a slow day actually looking up the data from the sources instead of being lazy and relying on a single random guy from the internets.
I think you are right on both counts but for one statistic, the murder rate. That alone gives a pretty good argument in favor of gun restrictions.
Shack…that's a qual. Check switches safe…cleared to RTB.In the end, I'm pretty uncomfortable making laws in the US based solely off of another country's experience, especially when the law is so dramatically different/against our civil rights.
Interesting link. Unfortunately, none of those homicides make the national news. It's all about the media drumbeat…and I guess, to be "fair and balanced", I doubt any first class grade in a school was ever killed in one day with a hammer, bat, bludgeon, whatever.No attempt to ban hammers, impose fist capacity limits, or clubs ...
Interesting link. Unfortunately, none of those homicides make the national news. It's all about the media drumbeat…and I guess, to be "fair and balanced", I doubt any first class grade in a school was ever killed in one day with a hammer, bat, bludgeon, whatever.
Sadly, that's how ridiculous the whole thing has become.
... Someday, we will eventually reap whatever the hell it is we're sowing.
You had me at "abductive reasoning". Nice.Interesting thread, abductive reasoning abounds.
Seriously? Is the whole"rubber flip-flops persuader" thing a model for us? I, too, served two tours in Japan. They didn't know what a Constitution was until we taught them. HINT: There were guns involved in the educational process...Japan...Seldom do they apprehend a suspect without getting a full confession, rubber flip-flops make an excellent "persuader", leaving virtually no marks. They were a standard item in each interrogation room I saw. I joined them in laughing about our ATF - Alcohol - Tobacco - Firearms organization. An ineffective, outdated organization.
Nanking?While on the subject, after Katrina and more recently Sandy, the Japanese are horrified to see the wholesale looting taking place after the storms. Horrified is an understatement. Quick to point out that there was no looting after the tsunami of 3/11/2011.