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Drug Boat Strike

There are several plausible explanations for decreased marijuana arrests that don't revolve around the cartels losing interest in revenue from the product due to U.S. domestic production.
The DEA officer I saw a few times at career fairs talked about it was essentially utilizing the manpower they had to get the really bad drugs, not enough people to do it all.
 
Now it seems they are going to start a war in Venezuela, because reasons, I guess. Know what you are getting into, fellas.

Well to their credit, that war might not even require a real deployment.......US port calls. Maybe just a tanker bridge from NAS Key West, as a forward staging point......my idle mind runs wild with this one
 
The DEA officer I saw a few times at career fairs talked about it was essentially utilizing the manpower they had to get the really bad drugs, not enough people to do it all.
Yea I figured I wasn't going to find internal policy memos that told officers not to waste bandwidth on Marijuana enforcement. One of the tough parts about measuring crime rates is that arrest rates can vary based on political policy, and voters don't want to believe their marijuana logistics chain includes people who brutally rape and kill women so politicians take a hear no evil, see no evil approach.

Kind of like when police officers decide they won't pull anyone over unless they're doing 80+ in a 65. Or in the San Diego area, they won't pull you over unless you're weaving traffic.
 
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Not specific to this event but I find that is a lot of the Inertia left over from 20 years of 72+ hour target soaks and CDE scores of 0 being the minimum.

People with Stars don’t seem to have a problem from what I’ve seen, but it makes a lot of guys wearing gold/silver oak leaves that grew up in the “every kinetic is an automatic 15-6” very uncomfortable with sensor to shooter being a timed drill. Concepts like firing on a sigint/comint based trigger set without looking visually at the target… stuff that is absolutely happening in that war laboratory of Russia Ukraine just reads as an automatic war crime. We’d better start getting more comfortable with the idea that we won’t be granted the time in target latency for everybody to get a vote on passing it on through to be actioned.

Regarding these strikes….
I’m reluctant on buying that these strikes were just haphazard because I remember this same media groups deliberately trying to paint what we were doing over Mosul/Raqqa as just indiscriminate death from above in 16/17. For all the “show us proof” there seems little to no concern in revealing method and means on that.
"War crimes" are only a means to punish the senior military and political leadership of the loser.

I've always been uncomfortable with the idea of TLAM strike for the reasons you outline. We launch missile, it blows something / someone up at some location and we all hope we did the right thing.
 
Also a difference between deliberate vs. reactionary fires.

I saw an interesting TACAID on a 1-star's desk that related ROE to weapons posture.

No one wants people below a 3-star questioning deliberate fires tasking and/or ROE legality in the heat of the moment. Questions like "is this operation legal" is answered at the 4-star / SECDEF level.

I think I get your point, but I'd offer just because you've met ROE doesn't mean you have to execute it. I'll expand on that idea in a sec, but to do so once again takes us back to the question of whether these strikes are under Use of Force doctrine (ie, a LE action) or under AUMF.

Under Use of Force, and specifically as it applies to CNT ops when conducting maritime AUF, you can move through the continuum towards End Game once given permission. The individual crew moves through the continuum at their discretion based on the reaction of the contact of interest. Even if the COI is non-compliant, it doesn't require the crew to move all the way to End Game in a linear fashion. Why would that happen? Well...

I was on a case where we intercepted and started the AUF process. It met all of the check boxes (unflagged, non-compliant, high speed Panga, more than one engine, containers in the hold, etc). We were given authorization for End Game and started working through the card. I wasn't the HAC, but I was on the side with the guns so I had the equivalent of Release Consent. As we got to the point where we were going to directly target the vessel, I told them to hold fire and we chatted back and forth with MOM about how immediately shooting may not be the right call since we had time and distance on our side. What I was seeing onboard definitely indicated they were dirty, but didn't look like contraband.

After another few seconds the vessel played their game of red light/green light, stopping and then going before finally stopping. After they ditched their SSE over the side, they killed the engines and waited for MOM, which was a very smart move on their part.

As it turned out, no contraband (other than some weed and maybe a bump for themselves). And eventually, off they went. Had we continued to shoot, we would have been absolutely in our right to do so, but we also would have then been hosting these clowns on the ship instead of detaining them. I have no idea if they would have received a Cadillac chit for the damage...something I always wondered about.

I understand my sea story above is different than what seems to be happening now in the Carribean where it's a directed kill order. But again, I offer it as perspective on how we've historically interdicted these cases under a LE umbrella, utilizing the "Can I? May I? Should I?" technique while also meeting ROE.

One last thought...that Panga in the second strike looked totally dirty as well. What I find interesting is that it was DIW when hit, which wouldn't fly under AUF. It also had one engine up, which usually indicates it's broken and makes them much easier to intercept before they reach a LSV, assuming you have an asset nearby that can get to it...which is a big if, depending on the AOR.
 
Regarding these strikes….I’m reluctant on buying that these strikes were just haphazard because I remember this same media groups deliberately trying to paint what we were doing over Mosul/Raqqa as just indiscriminate death from above in 16/17. For all the “show us proof” there seems little to no concern in revealing method and means on that.

I haven't seen any reporting saying that these strikes were 'haphazard', but I do think there since we are using deadly force as a first option instead of a last one as we have in the past the burden of proof now is higher to prove that these targeted vessels are in fact drug smugglers and from a particular group as has been publicly claimed. Right now there is little to no proof or credibility to the claims other than 'trust us', which the press and some of the public are wary of...for good reason.
 
we are using deadly force as a first option instead of a last one
There are several avenues of communication and diplomacy occurring between the US and VZ.
If you are talking about deadly force first, as an individual event, I agree with you.
If referring to the total drugs from VZ issue, than deadly force was not the first action.
 
There are several avenues of communication and diplomacy occurring between the US and VZ.
If you are talking about deadly force first, as an individual event, I agree with you.
If referring to the total drugs from VZ issue, than deadly force was not the first action.

But does it rise to the level of using military directly striking smugglers with deadly force? It has before when folks have openly threatened the US itself, like Noriega, but not smuggling networks who don't pose an immediate threat IIRC.
 
People with Stars don’t seem to have a problem from what I’ve seen, but it makes a lot of guys wearing gold/silver oak leaves that grew up in the “every kinetic is an automatic 15-6” very uncomfortable with sensor to shooter being a timed drill. Concepts like firing on a sigint/comint based trigger set without looking visually at the target… stuff that is absolutely happening in that war laboratory of Russia Ukraine just reads as an automatic war crime. We’d better start getting more comfortable with the idea that we won’t be granted the time in target latency for everybody to get a vote on passing it on through to be actioned

You're not wrong here. But I'll offer that those "a lack of friendlies in the area confirms any presence is enemy" and shooting at sigint hits are TTPs for a different type of conflict than what we're doing in the Caribbean.

In one case we have enemy combatants. In the other we have citizens of a different (not really friendly, but not in open conflict) nation breaking the law.

So what we're seeing in the Caribbean is more akin to what we've done over the last 25 years wrt anti-weapons, money, and drug smuggling ops in the Middle East than what war may look like in the Pacific.
 
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