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'Disproportionate' In What Moral Universe?

thenuge

Cleverly disguised as a responsible adult
thats, exactly what I said...

I thought you said Hezbollah wanted a cease fire?... Iwas relpying to your first post. I think you posted the second one before I was done writing my counterpoint up.
 

raptor10

Philosoraptor
Contributor
All what you said was correct, except hezbollah cant survive forever so they are going to capitalize on all of those PR Victories by gaining not only military power, but now we would be giving them political power, which is a whole other ball game.
 

raptor10

Philosoraptor
Contributor
Hezbullah may 'win' by survival

Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said:
"(If) at any time you decide to stop your campaigns on our cities, suburbs, civilians, and infrastructure, we won't strike with rockets any settlement or Israeli city," Nasrallah said, on a day in which Hezbullah fired at least 150 rockets, killing eight Israeli civilians.
 

Fly Navy

...Great Job!
pilot
Super Moderator
Contributor
All what you said was correct, except hezbollah cant survive forever so they are going to capitalize on all of those PR Victories by gaining not only military power, but now we would be giving them political power, which is a whole other ball game.

Then if Israel is fighitng a "normal" war, Israel should capitilize on a cease fire proposal and destroy her enemy while they're down.
 

nittany03

Recovering NFO. Herder of Programmers.
pilot
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
I'm not sure I understand...

In order to win, Hizbullah has to not lose. i.e., survive in some form short of annihilation.

In order to lose, Israel has to simply not win. As long as they fail to wipe out Hizbullah as a military entity, they will have given the propaganda victory to the other side who "withstood" the mighty Israeli Defence Forces. Just like Saddam was able to claim that he "won" Gulf War I because we chose to leave him in power.

The classic Catch-22 of counterinsurgency.
 

thenuge

Cleverly disguised as a responsible adult
In order to win, Hizbullah has to not lose. i.e., survive in some form short of annihilation.

In order to lose, Israel has to simply not win. As long as they fail to wipe out Hizbullah as a military entity, they will have given the propaganda victory to the other side who "withstood" the mighty Israeli Defence Forces. Just like Saddam was able to claim that he "won" Gulf War I because we chose to leave him in power.

The classic Catch-22 of counterinsurgency.

Looks like the Israeli's are in a bit of a sticky wicket.......as it were.
 

thull

Well-Known Member
i wonder how their "war plan" that was five years in the making could not have forseen this. especially with the daily heeping of lessons from Iraq. or did they forsee all of this, and decide this was the best option. hard to imagine this would be their absolute best option.
 

TurnandBurn55

Drinking, flying, or looking busy!!
None
I don't really think that Hezbollah "turned" world opinion against Israel. Most countries apart from the US, UK, AUS, etc wouldn't blink an eye if She ceased to exist. Lets face it, "world opinion" for centuries has not sincerely rested with the Jews. It's a sad truth...

That's fine, but it's a matter of degree. You'll never get the average Muslim to say "I heart Israel", but you hope for some degree of tolerance and the least and a grudging "Israel has the right to exist" at the most.

Most of the moderate Arab states have accepted that stance, and while Israel hasn't raised too much trouble since the al-Aqsa intifada, the governments of said states have some leeway.

Now what you're seeing is mass protests in the streets, and even people blaming Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait et al for what Israel's doing. Think their governments are going to do America (Israel's protectors) any favors while that's happening? They're terrified of some united radical Islamist front being ignited into a revolution.
 

squorch2

he will die without safety brief
pilot
I don't really think that Hezbollah "turned" world opinion against Israel. Most countries apart from the US, UK, AUS, etc wouldn't blink an eye if She ceased to exist. Lets face it, "world opinion" for centuries has not sincerely rested with the Jews. It's a sad truth...
Judaism and Zionism are two separate and distinct concepts - conflating the two doesn't help anyone.
 

GMan1976

Banned
Judaism and Zionism are two separate and distinct concepts - conflating the two doesn't help anyone.

very true, and there are plenty of orthodox jews who are not zionist. however, Israel being a "Jewish State", my point is that (for mostly irrational reasons) the israelis AND the jews don't have too many fans worldwide (and, for the latter, has been so for a long time).
 

raptor10

Philosoraptor
Contributor
i wonder how their "war plan" that was five years in the making could not have forseen this. especially with the daily heeping of lessons from Iraq. or did they forsee all of this, and decide this was the best option. hard to imagine this would be their absolute best option.

(friend of a friend of a friend says>>>) The reason that the mossad saw no reason to penetrate hezbollah was because the Israelis had an agrement with Syria (verifiable) where Israel would not protest Syria's occupation of Lebanon, and in return Syria would keep a tight reign over Hezbollah. When the US pressured Syria out so that we could get our "democracy" in Lebanon, the Syrians were pretty pissed and were hoping that this would happen to show that Syria was needed to keep the peace in that region.
 

Cate

Pretty much invincible
I think that TurnandBurn has one of the most salient points - that the goal isn't for Islamic states/Islamic majority states to embrace Israel so much as at least tolerate it.

And I think that while we spend a lot of time debating whether or not Israel has the right to the level of response they've given, the more important question is whether or not it's a good idea. I don't feel informed enough on the subject to put forth an argument one way or the other, but I think it would be good to consider the effect that Israel's response might have on the future of democracy in Lebanon. After all, after the Cedar Revolution, things were starting to look up for the non-freaky-fundamentalist-militants in Lebanon. And while some of those same people understand perfectly that what Israel is doing is a direct result of Hezbollah's actions, there are others who only see that their houses are getting blown up, and some of those are even turning to Hezbollah for support.

Again, let me make clear - I don't feel informed enough about the situation to take a position, outside of the usual "unprovoked kidnappings and bombings are terrorism, and terrorism is bad." But Israel's current approach seems to lend itself more to a future where Lebanon is unable to strike, rather than one where Lebanon isn't inclined to strike (which I guess leads to the "better to be respected or feared" debate). They may find themselves in a position where they have no other option than to wipe Lebanon completely off the map, which is arguably a less positive outcome than one in which Lebanon remains and Hezbollah is gone.

But then, I'm just an unfrozen caveman. Your world frightens and confuses me.
 

skim

Teaching MIDN how to drift a BB
None
Contributor
The islamic world are great at creating propoganda. The west and Israel would never show the direct casualties of the rockets, whereas in the islamic world the first responders to the bombings are the media. When a bus blows up in israel you see very little damage, maybe a picture of someone crying. When the world trade center fell, you did not see the jumpers after hitting the ground. In the islamic world you see actual victims, dead or maimed, mostly children. They know how we respond to photos of dead and injured children and have no problem giving us them.
 
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