On the Rhino side, expect the FCS OFP upgrades later this year. The FRS is planning on a 40% reduction in FCLPs for their initial CQ requirements, and the fleet squadrons are already dialing back FCLPs. PLM is awesome, but you can still fuck it away. You still have to fly a good pattern and get to a good start and I saw several scary screaming power call PLM passes at the boat during my last cruise. It will be interesting to see what effect PLM has on FRS DQ rates. I suspect they will be significantly reduced.
The issue is more complicated in CNATRA, no one seems to know what the final answer is going to be now. No matter what, E2 guys still have to qual at the boat. Whether that gets pushed to the E2 rag as well is a hot topic of debate. Ultimately, T45 CQ and FCLP is a huge part of the syllabus. From a cost standpoint it's obviously the most expensive part of training when you factor in the boat. And the most time consuming. And boats are hard to come by these days.
Do we need T45 CQ? I don't know...from a cost standpoint, no. In my opinion kids are mostly successful at initial CQ but they have Training Qual'd paddles, strict day only weather requirements, and wide margins for error in a cheap and forgiving airplane.
Until someone with 3+ stars on their shoulder is willing to give a kid his first shot behind the boat in a Lot 42 AESA Rhino or an F35, then I think people are going to continue to value the reward of T45 CQ as a mitigation to not losing a more expensive airplane. Additionally, LSO and FCLP requirements can only be reduced in the FRS because guys have already had the extensive training in CNATRA. If you remove that, then the FCLP and LSO quals would probably get pushed back up to the FRS.