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Road to 350: What Does the US Navy Do Anyway?

Interesting take from Ryan Szymanski. One of the big items is the sustainment in both strike and defense that a big ship can provide while smaller ships run out of missiles and/or fuel and must retire from the area, although perhaps the reload capability of VLS cells at sea will become normalized and alleviate that concern.

As Spekkio mentioned above, and I wondered about a decade ago in Ship Photo of the Day, would we see a return to non-aircraft carrier capital ships when technology improved? The carrier replaced the battleship 85 years ago when airplanes could outrange guns - have/will we reached the stage where hypersonic missiles and cruise missiles turn the table? And if not this “battleship”, is there a place for a 20,000 - 25,000 ton large cruiser?

We went through this in the late 40s, early 50s. See “Revolt of the Admirals”.
 
Interesting take from Ryan Szymanski. One of the big items is the sustainment in both strike and defense that a big ship can provide while smaller ships run out of missiles and/or fuel and must retire from the area, although perhaps the reload capability of VLS cells at sea will become normalized and alleviate that concern. And yes, the original design only shows 128 VLS cells, but the volume of the much bigger ship allows for growth, especially if the helicopter facilities are deleted.

I would argue going the other way, with more less expensive ships and other launchers to 'distribute lethality' across a larger number of platforms making your strike capability more resilient to attack. A lot easier to hit 2 or 3 ships than a dozen augmented by land-based launchers spread out over many possible island bases.

And let's be realistic, the new 'battleships' may be laid down but I seriously doubt if even one hull ever touches the water.
 
Interesting take from Ryan Szymanski. One of the big items is the sustainment in both strike and defense that a big ship can provide while smaller ships run out of missiles and/or fuel and must retire from the area, although perhaps the reload capability of VLS cells at sea will become normalized and alleviate that concern. And yes, the original design only shows 128 VLS cells, but the volume of the much bigger ship allows for growth, especially if the helicopter facilities are deleted.

As Spekkio mentioned above, and I wondered about a decade ago in Ship Photo of the Day, would we see a return to non-aircraft carrier capital ships when technology improved? The carrier replaced the battleship 85 years ago when airplanes could outrange guns - have/will we reached the stage where hypersonic missiles and cruise missiles turn the table? And if not this “battleship”, is there a place for a 20,000 - 25,000 ton large cruiser?


These things are essentially disposable. Fill the inside with flotation, make the containers the package, make sure they can float when the ship is sunk.

1028 TEU = 1,028 containers, and so on.


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If the concern is sustained strike capacity, a carrier does that far better than the proposed BBG(X) design, which offers only a 33% increase in VLS cells over a modern DDG.
False dichotomy. It's not an either / or decision.

Blue-water engagement against a gaggle of Renhais / Luyangs being different than a ship to shore strike package targeting key infrastructure.
 
False dichotomy. It's not an either / or decision.

Blue-water engagement against a gaggle of Renhais / Luyangs being different than a ship to shore strike package targeting key infrastructure.
It is an either/or decision because the industrial base is already capacity-constrained and that won’t change until the US invests heavily in its shipyards. As it currently stands, we can opt for carrier strike capability or the BBG(X). If we wanted to do both, it would likely require tens of billions in expansion and modernization at Bath, Newport News, and Pascagoula, or else the program starts competing directly with CVN, LHA, DDG, submarine, and RCOH timelines.

The cost-benefit analysis if we’re designing this thing for surface combat against enemy ships doesn’t track either. For the cost of a single BBG(X) at the reported 12.6 billion dollars per vessel (a conservative estimate), China could produce 14 Type 055 destroyers. That’s 128 VLS cells vs 1568. That’s not an exchange ratio the United States Navy can accept in a far-east scenario, especially with our disadvantages in shipyard capacity. If we’re going off the Navy’s procurement timeline, with service entry likely in the late 2030s, that 14v1 number stops being hypothetical. At roughly two Type 055s per year during active production, China can get there inside the BBG(X) development window while still building other combatants in parallel at a rate we aren’t currently capable of matching.

As currently presented, it’s supposed to fill a niche where it’s a cost-ineffective replacement for roles a DDG or SSN already cover. We don’t need another surface combatant that fails to address the issues of operating under the threat of A2/AD missiles, least of all a 20 billion dollar one that’ll require manpower the navy just doesn’t have.
 
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It is an either/or decision because the industrial base is already capacity-constrained and that won’t change until the US invests heavily in its shipyards. As it currently stands, we can opt for carrier strike capability or the BBG(X). If we wanted to do both, it would likely require tens of billions in expansion and modernization at Bath, Newport News, and Pascagoula, or else the program starts competing directly with CVN, LHA, DDG, submarine, and RCOH timelines.
Well, good thing that BB(X) is slated to be built in Philly and our carriers are built at Newport News. I know of no plans to downsize or scrap the Ford, Virginia, or Columbia class ships as a result of procuring BB(X). Do you?

The cost-benefit analysis if we’re designing this thing for surface combat against enemy ships doesn’t track either. For the cost of a single BBG(X) at the reported 12.6 billion dollars per vessel (a conservative estimate), China could produce 14 Type 055 destroyers.
I mean, now you're grasping for straws here. If we had all of the design specifications on hand, we could not build a Type 055 for the cost that China produces them. We have cultural hurdles (if you want to call them that) like labor laws and a desire to construct our ships to be both survivable and repairable.

The LCS class is an example of what happens when we think we can just take a design 'off the shelf' from another country.

As currently presented, it’s supposed to fill a niche where it’s a cost-ineffective replacement for roles a DDG or SSN already cover.
Building a nuclear powered CRUDES solves a LOT of logistics problems that keep the pac side of the house really busy right now. Load out your food in port and you never need to UNREP in a WEZ.

I do wonder how much of this is simply Trump's bombastic messaging. Would everyone be up in arms if Secretary Del Toro announced a CGN replacement for our constantly broken cruisers?
 
Well, good thing that BB(X) is slated to be built in Philly and our carriers are built at Newport News. I know of no plans to downsize or scrap the Ford, Virginia, or Columbia class ships as a result of procuring BB(X). Do you?
Where did you read this? The Navy identified only Bath, Pascagoula, and Newport News as capable of facilitating the BBG(X) platform. The Philadelphia Yard is a foreign yard that has no experience in producing warships. There is currently no plans to do anything related to procuring the BBG(X) so of course there aren’t any plans for mitigating the consequences. It will, at best, completely upend DDG production.

I mean, now you're grasping for straws here. If we had all of the design specifications on hand, we could not build a Type 055 for the cost that China produces them. We have cultural hurdles (if you want to call them that) like labor laws and a desire to construct our ships to be both survivable and repairable.

We can build Arleigh Burkes for 1/10th of the cost that the BBG(X) will likely incur. I don’t think I’m the one grasping for straws here.

The LCS class is an example of what happens when we think we can just take a design 'off the shelf' from another country.

The entirely American designed Freedom variant is just as crappy as the Independence variant. It’s completely nonsensical to blame the problems solely on the Independence’s commercial design origins considering NAVSEA completely revamped it.

Building a nuclear powered CRUDES solves a LOT of logistics problems that keep the pac side of the house really busy right now. Load out your food in port and you never need to UNREP in a WEZ.

Where are you going to find the qualified Nukes, not to mention the other manpower requirements? The Navy already struggles to maintain the nuclear manpower we have and there just aren’t enough people who qualify willing to sign up.

I do wonder how much of this is simply Trump's bombastic messaging. Would everyone be up in arms if Secretary Del Toro announced a CGN replacement for our constantly broken cruisers?

If my grandmother had wheels. This program sucks, it would suck even if Jesus Christ himself proposed it. It’ll be unfortunate to see NNS use whatever they lay down as welding practice once we waste billions with nothing to show for it.
 
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