And monkeys hypothetically might fly out of my ass. Explain a credible alternate COA.
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How about that North Korea?
- Thread starter xj220
- Start date
No one thought jetliners were a credible threat, either...until they were.
Can you really not fathom an unconventional method to deliver a nuke?
Ok, it wasn't that I couldn't fathom one, it was that I thought at the time I posted that it was highly unlikely. Then I remembered this is the country that assassinated someone with VX by hand. I'm an idiot; sorry for being a dick.
I agree completely. Neither side has much to gain from a pre-emptive strike. Seoul being in range of NKs artillery has left us without a good military option and KJU striking first would spell the end of his regime. It's become a boy-cries-wolf scenario with the hostile rhetoric, but until we evacuate US civilians, I'm not sure we're as close to the brink as it seems.
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How close do you fellas think we are to an ultimatum being delivered to KJU? Something along the lines of "no more launches or nuke tests, or [fill in the blank military action] will happen."?
For my part, I don't expect much to change, except that N.K. will keep testing missiles and nukes to much howling and gnashing of U.N. (and USA) teeth for the foreseeable future.
For my part, I don't expect much to change, except that N.K. will keep testing missiles and nukes to much howling and gnashing of U.N. (and USA) teeth for the foreseeable future.
What would you suggest going in the blank?
Not sure, but I'd bet Gen. Mattis has a pretty good answer. Targeted strikes on their nuke and missile sites seems to be a reasonable expectation, but so does a retaliation against South Korea.
Which is why I think it'll continue to be a stalemate. Or WWIII.
Yeah I don't want to be the guy that says nothings going to happen, and then WWIII breaks out, but I feel like we're indefinitely locked in a stalemate. Hopefully China will step up since they are objecting to our THAAD radars on their front steps.
"Strange game, the only winning move is not to play."
The winning move was at least 20 years ago, and we missed it. Or rather, Carter and Clinton punted when they should have gone for it.
I didn't pay much attention to the VX assassination at the time. Reading back on it made me realize that it was KJU's older brother, who was the heir apparent before KJU, and who had advocated for reform in NK. Yikes
Now would be a perfect time for that Manchurian Candidate that we've been sitting on.
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1. http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/04/26/kim-jong-un-is-a-survivor-not-a-madman/
2. https://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/11/...uclear-missile-programs-rational.html?mcubz=1
3. http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-39269783
4. https://www.washingtonpost.com/worl...ca1b05c41b8_story.html?utm_term=.a8f6d6fe02fa
5. http://www.cnn.com/2017/04/28/politics/john-kelly-kim-jong-un-unbalanced-cnntv/index.html <---now the WH CoS.
6. https://www.forbes.com/sites/stratfor/2017/03/07/north-koreas-peculiar-brand-of-rationality/
Perhaps the problem is that you insist (or at least presume) that he isn't. Probably unknowable, at this point.