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How about that North Korea?

squorch2

he will die without safety brief
pilot
Well, if the Nobel committee is still handing out the Peace Prize on the apparent anticipation of great things, like in Obama's case, the Trump people have every reason to be optimistic. There is still hope for a positive outcome on the DPRK, no? Colonel Roosevelt must have rolled over in his grave on hearing about the Obama award.
BAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

 

Uncle Fester

Robot Pimp
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
There was a good commentary I read a few weeks ago - can’t find the original now - but it made a couple of interesting points.
One, speculating that the “Libya model” references is either really tone-deaf or Bolton deliberately goading the NKs into dropping talks. The NKs have explicitly compared their situation to Libya’s as to why they’ll never end their nuke program; to whit, ‘Qaddafi gave up his nukes, look what happened to him.’
Two, threatening to walk away from negotiations only works when the other party is desperate to make a deal. Kim would like some things to change, but at the end of the day he’s probably content with the status quo if he can’t get anything better. The administration, on the other hand, has made this their big foreign policy ‘win’ and has much more to lose.
 

Brett327

Well-Known Member
None
Super Moderator
Contributor
There was a good commentary I read a few weeks ago - can’t find the original now - but it made a couple of interesting points.
One, speculating that the “Libya model” references is either really tone-deaf or Bolton deliberately goading the NKs into dropping talks. The NKs have explicitly compared their situation to Libya’s as to why they’ll never end their nuke program; to whit, ‘Qaddafi gave up his nukes, look what happened to him.’
Two, threatening to walk away from negotiations only works when the other party is desperate to make a deal. Kim would like some things to change, but at the end of the day he’s probably content with the status quo if he can’t get anything better. The administration, on the other hand, has made this their big foreign policy ‘win’ and has much more to lose.
And the recent comments from DPRK about Pence was triggered by him referring to the Libya model for NK denuclearization. Even with some substantial security guarantees from the U.S., I don't see how NK will ever think that denuclearizing is in their best interests.