As Officers we don't have "cutting scores" or anything like that, the way we get promoted is this:
- Commissioned a Second Lt.
- Automatically promoted to First Lt 2 years from the day we are commissioned
- 4 years from commissioning you are "in zone" for Captain. There is a board for selection to Captain, albeit a not very competitive one (right now I think above 95% selection). They look at your total package on selection boards, to include your class rank at TBS, your fitness reports in the fleet, etc.
-I believe 5 years after pinning on Captain, you will be in zone for Major. Once again there is a selection board, this time more selective than before. At this board the billets you have held will start to come into play (i.e., did you hold any command? what B Billets did you fill? what deployments were you on? were you in the fleet as a Lt? Capt?) This is where PT could play a part.
If you can't PT you are less likely to be selected to fill command billets. I was told that the magic number for command billets is to hold a minimum of a 250 PFT.
I am a ground officer, and I was given all this above information in a conversation I had with a Col (who I generally consider to know a thing or two about promotions). Keep in mind that this is from a ground Officer perspective. I'm sure if you are a pilot they don't look at things like Command as much when you are going for Major.
So then- if you can max pullups and crunches your run time shouldn't drag down your overall PFT so much that it hurts you for promotion.
If you can't run, you will absolutely hate your life at OCS, but after that it probably won't effect your Officer career that much.