Thank God a (former) VQ guy has spoken up...
I can't believe I just said that. I KEED I KEED.
Flash said:
DITCHING: This was, and I presume still is, preferred to bailing out over water if one had to chose. I know there have been several US P-3's to ditch and I think one Aussie one too (?).
Yup. Ditch is always preferred over bailout when overwater. The Aussie P-3 was on Christmas Island (yes, it exists, and no, it isn't what you are imagining). LONG story shortened and dumbed-down, the Aussies did an abrubt pull up at low altitude (I think on a departure) and ripped the leading edges off the wings (access panels to the plenums for those of you in the know). You can figure out the rest.
Flash said:
There has only been one US P-3 that ditched where everyone survived, the last one in 94 or 95. I heard the pilot speak when I was in flight school, he was an instructor in VT-10 at the time, and it was a great story. Basically, it was a good dose of luck combined with skill that saved them. That pilot got a DFC too.
That was the engine out, no hydraulics dead-stick off of Oman. Here's the link to a recount of the story:
http://www.vpnavy.com/vp47ditch.html
Flash said:
On all of the other P-3 ditchings though at least one of the crew perished, not good odds to begin with.
Here's my quarterly plug for the book "Adak", the factual account of the VP-9 bird that went down in the Northern Pacific. HIGHLY recommended.
Flash said:
There has never been an EP-3 ditching. Would it be that much different? It is a couple thousand pounds heavier and I really don't think the antennas on the bottom, including the big M&M, would affect the planes integrity or impact that much.
Probably the only point I'd disagree with. I have never read an EP-3 Pilot-FE NATOPS, but I know in a straight stick we avoid ditching with the bomb bay open at all costs. Aerodynamic funkiness (go liberal arts!), plus the idea of the bomb bay acting as either a water scoop or a water brake. The M&M radome would either rip off and possibly create a hole in the fuselage or dig into a swell and create a violent pitch-down. Or maybe nothing would happen, but my money would be on something catostrophic (as if a ditch isn't that already).
Flash said:
The thing that many people don't remember is that the crew of the EP-3 is twice the size of a regular P-3. That leaves 2 times the amount of people that need to get out of the plane.
Another great point. In a ditch, there are basically 2 ways out for the aircrew in the tube, 2 overwing exits. 20-some people waiting patiently to exit a rapidly sinking aircraft...yeah fun...
Flash said:
A key point in this case is that the crew did not know the extent of the damage to the plane and were reluctant to mess with a plane that was still flying, why mess with what works? One of their biggest worries was about possible split flaps. That would have raised there ditching speed by 20 or 30? knots (VP pilots, correct me if I am wrong).
Add 20K to land flap ditch speed for flaps man. or up.
Flash said:
BAILING OUT: As any VP guy knows, a bailout drill is almost as much as a harrasment session than it is a real drill. That is not because it is people don't take it seriously but because the likleyhood was so small. The only reason most of the pilots said they would order a bailout was an uncontrollable fire over land.
Yup. Or any scenario where you cannot control the aircraft at all. Pretty hard to ditch when your yoke inputs aren't doing anything and Autopilot has taken its usual dump. Ditch with just power lever inputs and assymetric thrust? Uh...lets see, never practiced it, never done it, I'd trust the silk at that point.
Flash said:
There would have been about 20 individuals spread over a couple square miles over the SCS without any SAR for a long time. The flight crew probably would not have made it out because they would have had to rely on autopilot at some point to run to the back. Not likely with a P-3 autopilot, especially on a plane in that condition.
(this is more to add to the discussion of procedures, esp for any new Orion-Aries guys out there, not to argue any of your points)
Well, the Plane Commander would most likely not make it out. Bailout training evolutions end with the co-pilot and FE leaving the PPC at the controls to keep the plane steady while they bailout. Then the PPC (who already has his chute on) gets to trust the autopilot or trim up as best as he can and sprint tot he main cabin door in the back. Riiiight...
Flash said:
LANDING: This is the one that seems to have generated the most questions here and with the people I have talked to about this. They were 2-4 hours from either Taiwan or the Phillippines (I am being general for a reason). To fly that long with an aircraft in that condition was a dicey prospect. Would the second damaged engine/prop hold out? Was the plane structually sound? Lots of questions and not a lot of answers. Which is why an airfield that was a lot closer was the best option.
As I posted earlier, what was their fuel state and how much effect was that WALL on the nose having on fuel flow and power settings? When I see fuel flow per engine below 1000 pounds, I get a hard-on, when it's 1300 or higher, I get a migraine...
Flash said:
Flying a big sky pig is not like Tacair where you have a yellow and black ticket out of the airplane if it really hits the fan.
Agreed. Price we pay for a pisser and coffee pot.
Flash said:
And in Tacair you are rarely alone and unafraid 1000 or 1500 miles from the closest friendlies (I am hard pressed to think of an example). You almost always have a wingman or a controller keeping an eye on you, it might be tenuous sometimes but it is there. You are really out there on your own in a P-3 or EP-3 (or RC-135 too). The closest competent SAR was in Taiwan and their S-70C Bluehawk helos (SAR equipped H-60's) and don't quite have the legs to get there. The closest US SAR was in Okinawa, a long way away and out of the range of the HH-60's to get there. And it is not like the PRC would have been out there looking for them ASAP, even if they could. They would have been SOL for a very long time.
Yet another great point. Due to the nature of these kinds of ops, people make all kinds of crazy assumptions. "Oh the Battle Group could have picked them up". What Battle Group? It is understood on these ops you are out there by yourself.
Flash said:
One critique I do have of the whole incident was some of the aftermath. Specifically the awards they gave to the crew. I thought the flight station should have all rated Air Medals (there were three pilots who flew it, not just one) and backenders should have gotten something other than AM's.
The whole flight station DIDN'T get AMs??? And the tube rats did??? Are you f-ing kidding me?
Flash said:
Finally, while many you might speculate what was on that plane no one on this board really knows what was carried on VQ birds. The VP guys have somewhat an idea, but only a partial one. Like I said before, neither the plans for the MMA or Michael Jackson's defense strategy were on the plane.
Now that's funny. Yet another excellent point.
Flash said:
and I do know a few VQ types that think that way (strangely, all were O-4/5 types).
yet another reason to pay your JOPA dues.
Great post Flash.
edit: I'm counting on you new Orion-Aries guys to idiot check me on my facts as per NATOPS. As we all know, NATOPS is for new guys...