Couldn’t agree more with this. In addition, pay hasn’t kept pace with inflation. So, you can be a barista and make nearly the same amount as an apprentice. Additionally, said barista doesn’t need to clear a drug test or security clearance check.
We also don’t have a good foreman cadre. You need this as much as skilled labor. We have all seen the shop without a CPO that’s run by the newly frocked PO1. That’s what’s going on.
To complicate matters, shop classes disappeared so even basic apprentice training has to start at a lower level.
We also got punch drunk on coding. AI can build code, but it can’t rebuild a motor.
There's a lot of boomer media talking points in this that don't hold up to reality.
The closest analogue the U.S. has to vintage manufacturing jobs is Amazon. They are notorious for poor / controlling working conditions despite the fact that they pay extremely competitively. Anyone who worked in manufacturing / warehouses in the 1940s - 1960s would kill to have the quality of life Amazon offers.
People were encouraged to move out of manufacturing because typing at a type writer (and later a computer) in a climate controlled office with freedom to use the bathroom and take lunch whenever you want beats the hell out of operating a machine press for 8 hours a day with extremely controlled / managed breaks.
Also, the pay scale for trades / manufacturing looks great for single people under age 25, but everyone ignores the fact that it's extremely flat and insufficient to support a family of 4. Not too different from our enlisted pay structure. It's also hell on the body.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate of college graduates under 25 is around 5% with an average salary of $55,000... compared to double-digits for those who didn't go to college with an average salary around $35,000. Fast forward to where these people are in their 40s and 50s and there is a HUGE pay discrepancy between those who earned 4 year degrees and those who didn't.
Jon Stewart had some economists on a few months ago and their take about economies was that the progression goes from agrarian (mostly poor) -> manufacturing -> service / business owner. Manufacturing is never coming back as a prosperous career for Americans, and neither is farming. The former will be performed by machines / robotics and the latter by illegal / undocumented (choose your favorite euphamism) immigrants.
Now, I'm a firm believer that there's no shame in working, no matter the job. If my son is working in manufacturing at 19 to pay his way through college, I'll consider myself a successful parent. However, if he dropped out of college and is still operating a machine press for $18-20 / hour at 40, I fucked up. And also... at that salary you might as well work at Walmart and not destroy your body in the process.
YMMV.