NEWS Waterfront property in the Spratlys? Good investment or not?

[VMO4]

An excellent book on the demographic birth rate issue, and how it is no joke is The Accidental Superpower, (https://www.amazon.com/Accidental-Superpower-Generation-American-Preeminence/dp/1455583685). You cannot make a 21 year old in less than well, 21 years, while China is attempting to address the birthrate issue, they are fighting a losing battle against, 1) the existing culture, and 2) the financial pressure on larger families. The Chinese impending labor shortage in 20-30 years is for the most part unavoidable.

No country has really successfully addressed their birthrate problem, that leaves the only way to solve the problem being immigration, but a homogeneous society like China, where non Chinese are discriminated against in a way that makes our culture look like everybody sitting around campfire singing cumbaya, is not a recipe for economic success.

Most scholars who study this issue and its history in other cultures think India will eat China's lunch in the next century.

 

[HSMPBR]

An excellent book on the demographic birth rate issue, and how it is no joke is The Accidental Superpower, (https://www.amazon.com/Accidental-Superpower-Generation-American-Preeminence/dp/1455583685). You cannot make a 21 year old in less than well, 21 years, while China is attempting to address the birthrate issue, they are fighting a losing battle against, 1) the existing culture, and 2) the financial pressure on larger families. The Chinese impending labor shortage in 20-30 years is for the most part unavoidable.

No country has really successfully addressed their birthrate problem, that leaves the only way to solve the problem being immigration, but a homogeneous society like China, where non Chinese are discriminated against in a way that makes our culture look like everybody sitting around campfire singing cumbaya, is not a recipe for economic success.

Most scholars who study this issue and its history in other cultures think India will eat China's lunch in the next century.

If birth rate is a factor in creating a world power, then Sub-Saharan Africa would like a word.

 

[wink]

If birth rate is a factor in creating a world power, then Sub-Saharan Africa would like a word.

A FACTOR. I think you can count many more factors in Sub-Saharan Africa that keeps it from advancing. But it is just a matter of fact, that a non-replacement birth rate will in time harm a county's prospects.

 

[Hair Warrior]

What kind of expansionism? Economic? Territorial?

Territory, incl. seas.

What modern country has been able to dramatically reversed a declining birthrate?

China is currently force-sterilizing lots (true number unknowable bc of China’s nontransparency) of Muslims, and they artificially depressed their birthrate for decades with the One Child Policy, which they recently have walked back. So I will put the onus back to you to identify any comparable large country that plays god so wantonly and oppressively with the fertility of its citizens.

 

[number9]

If birth rate is a factor in creating a world power, then Sub-Saharan Africa would like a word.

As someone who has spent a lot of time in that particular neck of the woods: the birth rate there goes down as infant mortality goes down and adult life expectancy goes up.

 

[Flash]

Territory, incl. seas.

Their territorial expansion has been pretty small in real terms, with the commercial and military ships still moving through South China Sea with few issues. While their expansion of artificial islands is not great there are few, if any, really good options to halt that short of going to war. Hence our focus on FON ops and encouraging our allies to do the same.

China is currently force-sterilizing lots (true number unknowable bc of China’s nontransparency) of Muslims, and they artificially depressed their birthrate for decades with the One Child Policy, which they recently have walked back. So I will put the onus back to you to identify any comparable large country that plays god so wantonly and oppressively with the fertility of its citizens.

You didn't answer my question. Plus, force sterilization ain't really going to help them with their birthrate.

 

[Randy Daytona]

In the SCMP today:

China’s population could halve within 45 years, new study warns

Researchers say previous estimates may have severely underestimated the pace of demographic decline.

www.scmp.com

China’s population could halve within the next 45 years, new study warns

• Researchers say previous estimates may have severely underestimated the pace of demographic decline
• Census data says the birth rate was 1.3 children for each woman last year – well below the level needed to stop the population from falling

 

[Randy Daytona]

In the SCMP today:

China’s population could halve within 45 years, new study warns

Researchers say previous estimates may have severely underestimated the pace of demographic decline.

www.scmp.com

China’s population could halve within the next 45 years, new study warns

• 
  
  • Researchers say previous estimates may have severely underestimated the pace of demographic decline
  • Census data says the birth rate was 1.3 children for each woman last year – well below the level needed to stop the population from falling

And just saw this from G-Zero media

Why is Xi Jinping lurking in bedrooms?

Why is Xi Jinping lurking in bedrooms?

Six hundred and eighty-eight million. That's how many Chinese women could be affected by Beijing's announcement this week that it will reduce access to abortions for non-medical reasons.This follows a string of policies enforced by China's Communist Party — notorious for its one-child policy —...

www.gzeromedia.com

Speaking of G-Zero and Ian Bremmer, he along with Richard Haas and Anne Marie Slaughter will be on Fareed Zakaria’s “GPS” today to discuss “The Quad” and the pivot to Asia.

 

[Randy Daytona]

Interesting article in The Atlantic today.

How War With China Begins
A cold war is already under way. The question is whether Washington can deter Beijing from initiating a hot one.

What Will Drive China to War?

A cold war is already under way. The question is whether Washington can deter Beijing from initiating a hot one.

www.theatlantic.com

 

[Hair Warrior]

New variants of Chinese stealth fighters break cover

Two new variants of China’s stealth fighters have broken cover in the past three days, including China’s next carrier-based fighter, hinted at during a recent air show.

www.defensenews.com

 

[scoolbubba]

New variants of Chinese stealth fighters break cover

Two new variants of China’s stealth fighters have broken cover in the past three days, including China’s next carrier-based fighter, hinted at during a recent air show.

www.defensenews.com

Good news: two new variants of anti-extremism and implicit bias training hit the streets today in the DOD. You're welcome for your freedom, America!

 

[Hair Warrior]

Good news: two new variants of anti-extremism and implicit bias training hit the streets today in the DOD. You're welcome for your freedom, America!

Well, just keeping the topic on hardware, we could do a better job figuring out how to do distributed lethality in the littorals/brown water. Exhibit A: LCS. Exhibit B: Mark VI.

 

[Flash]

Well, just keeping the topic on hardware, we could do a better job figuring out how to do distributed lethality in the littorals/brown water. Exhibit A: LCS. Exhibit B: Mark VI.

Huh?

 

[Hair Warrior]

(Hint: these ships aren’t living up to their service life)

 

[Randy Daytona]

Some rather unpleasant news.

WSJ NEWS EXCLUSIVE

• NATIONAL SECURITY

U.S. Companies Aid China’s Bid for Chip Dominance Despite Security Concerns
Silicon Valley venture-capital firms and chip-industry giants are ramping up deals in China’s semiconductor industry, alarming U.S. officials

WSJ News Exclusive | U.S. Companies Aid China’s Bid for Chip Dominance Despite Security Concerns

U.S. companies and their China affiliates are ramping up investment in Chinese semiconductor companies, aiding Beijing’s bid for chip-sector dominance and complicating Washington’s efforts to preserve America’s lead.

www.wsj.com